"Heuristics will monitor patterns of use, and if a user begins to do things 'out of character,' it will set off alerts." Campbell from Nucleus Research predicts that a persistent, personal identity will also be part of the new security framework. "People will have a single identity for school, personal, corporate, etc. You won't add a new user to the corporate network but rather authorize someone's identity."

Mix 'n' Match software

Many IT departments still develop custom applications for their users, but Menon says the practice will become largely extinct as application programming interfaces and packaged software services proliferate. "Salesforce provides 200,000 APIs; Programmable Web is currently tracking more than 11,000 APIs; Google and Bitnami and Amazon Web Services provide hundreds. If you can't find a service that does what you want, you probably aren't looking hard enough."Companies will need developers who are experts at orchestrating APIs and packaged services, he adds.

"Application development has always gotten more containerized and off-the-shelf," agrees Campbell. "Code gave way to procedures which led to modules and then DLLs, but you'll still need to be clever to arrange those building blocks into something useful."

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