Trump's New York State of Mind

Investor & Founder, SRI Capital
Follow me at Twitter : @sashi_reddi
Sashi Reddi
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Forget for a moment that Trump wants to temporarily ban all Muslims. Forget for a moment that Trump thinks that illegal Mexican immigrants could be rapists and drug dealers. Now what do we really know of Trump, the candidate? What do we know about his views on abortion, gay rights, religion, and other social issues? Surprisingly little.

Most of his rambling rallies are about how he’s “gonna win yuuuge”. His poll numbers are “like tremendous” and “like unbelievable” and then he starts on the insults-- Ted Cruz is “a nasty guy”, Jeb Bush is “low energy”, and Rand Paul could well fall off the far end of the stage if he’s not careful—and then last week he really did. And then of course that he is “gonna Make America Great Again”.

Just when you thought he was getting boring, and there really was no one left to insult, he got himself a co-star, Sarah Palin, who is “going to kick ISIS ass”. Sarah Palin is renown for her foreign policy expertise, having spent years observing Russia from her home in Alaska. I like Sarah Palin, especially in those cowboy boots, as Trump’s leading lady but if there is a second Act may I suggest Nikki Haley? Governor Nikki Haley of South Carolina, daughter of Indian immigrants, is making a name for herself as an empathetic Republican that can take the edge off Trump’s rhetoric. Nothing like a Bollywood wet sari scene to rejuvenate our nation and get us into a New York state of mind.

So where does Trump stand on key social issues?

Until very recently he was publicly strongly pro-choice. But a few months ago he has begun to state that he is “absolutely pro-life” but with exceptions. Under pointed questioning Trump does mumble something about defunding Planned Parenthood but as recently as August 2015 in a Fox News TV interview he stated that abortions are a “fairly small part of what they do” and argued that “we have to look at the positive also for Planned Parenthood.”

When asked about gay marriage he fumbles his way through saying that “he doesn’t feel good about it.”. But then he goes on to talk about a “beautiful” gay wedding he just attended.

Anyone remotely conversant with the bible can tell you that it is painful to watch Trump masquerade as a religious person, every bit as Christian as the evangelical crowd he is trying to win over. He has trouble recalling any passage in the bible that speaks to him and recently messed up quoting a relatively simple passage from his own notes. The best he can muster seems to be rallying the crowd in defense of being able to say “Merry Christmas!”, which apparently is banned by the constitution.

OK, let me come out and say it. I suspect that what we have in Trump is in fact a full fledged New York liberal with New York values. He may well turn out to be the strongest supporter of LGBT issues and pro-choice values that we have ever seen in a Republican candidate. Heck, he may even be a stronger supporter than Bernie Sanders who may be against all high income women, gays and lesbians.

Just as on Broadway, where an actor reveals some sudden clue that shapes how the rest of the play unfolds, the election drama has been shaped by two almost off-the-cuff remarks on Mexicans and Muslims. They could have been two random remarks that the media could have ignored, made as they were by a talk show host given to playing to an audience. But instead they fueled a media circus that fired up a base of ignored and sidelined older white men trying to survive in a rapidly changing multi-cultural and diverse nation.

Just a few days ago Trump said, “I could stand in the middle of 5th Avenue and shoot somebody and I wouldn’t lose voters.” The media did not take the bait this time. He waited for a few hours and still no takers. He completely dropped that line from his next campaign rally. See my point? If the media had said that Trump was calling for a jihad against New Yorkers shopping on 5th Avenue, we well could have had rednecks coming out against New Yorkers, shopping, or 5th Avenue.

So that’s where we are-- months away from possibly electing a candidate who we know nothing about. But here’s the really scary part. I am not sure Trump really knows what he believes in. Mexicans and Muslims are hot right now but who knows maybe it is Icelanders next in case a volcano erupts and disrupts his golf course in Scotland. We may be electing someone to host the greatest game show on earth. A Superbowl type extravaganza, modeled on the Hunger Games, where the media and pollsters will determine who we should nuke, invade, or assassinate. Six billion viewers will watch with bated breath as President Trump says, “You’re fired!”