Factors Currently Affecting Gold Prices in India

Gold shares a deeply embedded bond with the Indian market, and has been around for quite some time now. Not only is it purchased as a decorative form of jewelry, it is also done as a source of investment.

However, the prices of gold do not often respond the way that consumers would want them to. This is why investors end up losing more than making gains on it.

In a bid to aid assistors, we have made a list of all current factors that are affecting the prices of gold in India. Keep a keen eye on them, and you would know just when to start investing on gold, and when not to.

Inflation

It has generally been studied and noted that inflation has an impact on gold prices. As the Indian economy goes through inflation, the local currency weakens further and people start investing in gold. This leads to a growing demand, and a rise in the eventual prices.

However, we can’t say that there is a direct relation here. Gold prices peaked before the recession of the early 2000s and also rose when the situation improved. This is why we don’t have any set pattern here.

The Central Bank’s Decision

The decision by the Reserve Bank of India, to either buy or sell gold, can have a direct affect on the prices of gold in India. This is because of the sheer volume within these transactions, as central banks deal with a lot of gold. So, stay vigilant about such decisions and look out for bulk purchases or selling.

Interest Rates

Interest rates might have a simple inverse relationship with gold prices. Many might say that interest rates are linked with the currency, but that very link defines the inverse relationship shared with gold. Once interest rates rise, investors holding gold might see an increase in the opportunity cost of holding on to gold. The currency becomes a better option to invest in, and traders shy away from gold and seek out investment in rupees.

However, when interest rates fall, global investors run towards gold to safeguard their reserves. Thus, we can suggest that the two have an inverse relationship.

Jewelry Market

The Indian jewelry market is quite diverse, and there are a lot of key purchases throughout the year. Buying gold in the form of jewelry is a common tradition for festive events, and can dictate the prices of gold. From festivities like Diwali, Eid, and Christmas to the wedding season in the winters, gold demand can increase through high purchases in the jewelry market.

This demand is why India often ends up importing gold from outside during the festive and wedding season.

Socio-Political Situation

Just as it is with the global rates, gold prices in India are also affected by socio-political situations. Investors tend to run to gold, if they see any risk in other derivatives, because of poor socio-political conditions in the country. Gold is, hence, a safe haven investment for such situations.

You can go through our website to keep a track on all these factors.

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