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UPA win: Potential investments worth $700 Billion on track

By SiliconIndia | Saturday, 16 May 2009, 05:28 Hrs

UPA win: Potential investments worth $700 Billion on track

New Delhi: The verdict of the people in the General Elections for the 15th Lok Sabha or the House of the People, in favour of the Indian National Congress led United Progressive Alliance (UPA) is an affirmation of its economic policies of continued liberalization. Puncturing a disparate opposition, Prime Minister Manmohan Singh is set to govern the world's largest democracy for five more years.

The results so far indicate that the United Progressive Alliance (UPA) will likely form the government. The outcome will usher a new wave of confidence globally in the Indian economy with expected ramp up in economic activity, brought about by the urgent need to develop world class infrastructure, globally competitive pharmaceutical sector, telecom and augmentation of power generation.

"The government will have its task cut out with more than $700 billion worth of investments to be channeled in to India's infrastructure, power, telecom and pharma sectors over the next five years to provide the country a strong foundation to achieve the aspirational growth of 10 percent," says Bundeep Singh Rangar, Chairman, IndusView Advisors, the India-focused cross-border advisory firm.

The General Elections this time witnessed a three-way contest between the Indian National Congress led United Progressive Alliance (UPA), Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) led National Democratic Alliance (NDA) and Third Front, comprising of the Communist Parties and smaller regional parties, attempting to offer another alternative.

Both the Congress and BJP led governments have successfully accelerated India's GDP growth rate to about seven percent today from 1.4 percent in 1991-92. This momentum peaked at 9.7 percent in the fiscal year 2006-07 before slowing down on account of the worldwide recession.

"The Government would be best served if it continued and augmented the 'India Shining' policies that currently sustain a Gross Domestic Product (GDP) growth of more than 7% as India continues to defy negative GDP growth seen in many Western economies," says Rangar

Investment in Energy

India's power deficit entails an estimated investment of up to $150 billion by 2012. To meet the growing demand, the government plans to add 90GW over the same period to its existing generation capacity of 145GW.

"India will become a lucrative market for nuclear energy equipment makers as soon as The United States-India Peaceful Atomic Energy Cooperation Act of 2006 between India and the U.S. starts to show the benefits of investments coming in to the country," says Rangar

Nuclear energy makes up only three percent of total installed capacity in India and its domestic uranium reserves are also limited. India's Atomic Energy Commission estimates that domestic resources could support only 10 GW of installed nuclear capacity, signifying the potential of a multifold ramp-up.

Favourable policy initiatives could see global energy companies such as Areva SA, Alstom SA and Électricité de France (EDF) of France; the U.S.- based General Electric, Russia's state-owned nuclear company Rosatom State Nuclear Energy Corporation and Toshiba Corp., a diversified Japanese conglomerate, among others vying to enter India's nuclear energy market.

Infrastructure: Foundation of Growth

India's challenge is not only to augment its antiquated infrastructure, but also to build new infrastructure to keep up with its $1 trillion economy and the aspirations of its 1.2 billion population that grows by 16 million people each year.

Recognising that good infrastructure are a vital pre-requisite to build a strong nation, infrastructure development has been accorded key priority for the 11th Five-Year-Plan for the years 2007-2012 and the 12th plan period 2012-2017 with projected investment requirement of $500 billion and $1.5 trillion respectively by the Prime Minister's Committee on Infrastructure.

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Reader's comments(2)

1: It is victory of secularism and modernization of India through Congress led UPA allience. I congretulate congress for showing a hope of UP's minority by winning seats. I am sure if the party's policies remain the same, this alliance will always emerge as leading and the country will be a great nation in coming days.

Posted by:Fanatic Ind. - 16 May, 2009